The strange case of Wanda Metropolitano

Category: Team Analysis

It is one of the great anomalies of the season in European football. Atlético de Madrid concedes the same number of shots on target as Manchester City but concedes one goal for every two shots on target conceded.

Published:24/02/2022

There is no football season in which we do not find some anomaly that throws overboard the statistical logic that measures the dynamics of the game. We can always find indices that do not have a clear correlation between effectiveness and volume. And this season is not going to be an exception either. Among many interesting data, there is that of a club from the top five leagues that is taking a tremendous punishment… without suffering great sieges. Because football makes everything possible, however exceptional it may seem. And it is, in fact, its great value as a sport..

The history of the most recent Atlético de Madrid led by Diego Simeone was built from the defense. That is how they won two league titles and reached two Champions League finals. After lifting their second league title under the Argentine, it might seem that their defensive performance is still at a high level: they are the team in the top five leagues that has conceded the fewest shots on goal, with 61, the same as Manchester City itself. But the reality, in terms of effectiveness, is very, very different. And quite shocking.

In this table we have compiled different statistics related to shots conceded: (1) shots against, (2) shots on goal against total and (3) per 90 minutes, (4) xG against per shot and (5) non-penalty goals. Atletico Madrid is the team in the top five leagues that concedes the fewest total shots against (61), tied with Manchester City; and second in shots against per 90 minutes (7.9), behind Guardiola’s men. It could be any statistical table from 2014, 2016 or 2018. However, it is listed as the 30th team in goals conceded. A serious problem of defensive effectiveness that is greatly conditioning their ranking in La Liga and their performance in Europe. Atletico are conceding little and without too much clarity (0.09 xG per shot), but 1 out of every 2 shots on target conceded ends in a goal.

A consequence that has more than one cause but is directly reflected in Jan Oblak, one of the best goalkeepers in the world, who is going through a particularly delicate moment in his confidence in goal, as can be seen in the comparison of the Expected Goals on Goal (xGOT) of last season compared to the current one. According to our model, the chances generated for Oblak in this 2021/22 add up to 18 expected goals (without penalties), having conceded 26 goals. In their match against Manchester United, Ralf Rangnick’s team scored one goal with only one shot on target.

We are Driblab, a consultancy specialized in the statistical analysis of players and teams; our work is focused on advising and minimizing risk in professional football decision-making in areas related to talent detection and footballer evaluations. Our database has more than 180,000 players from more than 180 competitions, covering information from all over the world. Here you can learn more about how we work and what we offer.

Autor: Alejandro Arroyo
For Team Analysis we also recommend you:

Sharjah FC and Driblab sign partnership agreement

Sharjah FC and Driblab sign partnership agreement.

Generating and conceding: the clearest chances in the Top-5 leagues

Which teams generate and concede the clearest chances? We could look at shots on goal for and against, but we would be missing out on the quality of these chances.

Real Betis and Driblab renew their collaboration agreement

Real Betis and Driblab renew their collaboration agreement

Young center-backs in Argentina: an opportunity to keep a close eye on

“Argentina is producing young center-backs with significant presence and performance. We highlight five that we consider interesting for personalized scouting.”

driblabPRO Release Notes: First Quarter 2024

We have deployed new functionalities and resources that streamline all the work of football professionals. driblabPRO updates and launches the following improvements for its clients and users in the football scouting world:

Málaga CF and Driblab sign a strategic collaboration agreement

Málaga CF and Driblab sign a strategic collaboration agreement

Balkan U-20 talent not to be missed

Balkan U-20 talent not to be missed

No one misses more clear chances than… Erling Haaland.

It's no coincidence that the players who miss the clearest chances are often the ones who score the most goals. It makes sense because their teams allow them to face higher-value chances more frequently, and therefore easier to convert. But this 2023-24 season is...

Driblab continues its business growth with the arrival of new key members

Driblab continues its growth with the arrival of new profiles

Club Atlético Peñarol and Driblab signs partnership agreement

Club Atlético Peñarol and Driblab signs partnership agreement

Driblab

Información corporativa

Somos una empresa con sede en Madrid fundada en 2017 por Salvador Carmona y Cristian Coré Ramiro. Desde nuestros inicios nuestro trabajo se ha centrado en el análisis estadístico de datos para ayudar a los clubes en la planificación deportiva. Somos una consultora big data que ofrece servicios personalizados para cada cliente y defiende un modelo de gestión mixto y una comunicación constante para acompañar el día a día de las instituciones. Nuestro punto fuerte es la más amplia cobertura disponible en número de torneos profesionales y juveniles. Para más detalles, póngase en contacto con nosotros.

Colaboramos con:

           

Hemos aparecido en: